3 days do not a trend make, but we may be hitting an inflection point in the US on the current wave.
Going by the
Worldometer numbers for the US, the second half of March saw an average rate of increase in deaths per day of around 30% (individual day to day changes ranged from 16% to 41%). Over the last 3 days, that rate of increase has been 13%-14%.
I'm focusing on deaths not because I'm particularly ghoulish (well, not
just because), but because I think those are probably more accurately (less inaccurately?) counted than the total number of cases due to lack of testing and the fact that people are being told to stay home unless critically ill. We know there's an undercount of cases, just not by how much.
However, if we feel like active cases are not any more or less inaccurate than the death count, then the case fatality rate in the US is around 3%. That ain't the freaking
flu.
There's going to be another wave, though - Texas won't hit its peak until May, and the rest of the South will start seeing their numbers increase in the next couple of weeks.