Jay, it is the dwindling US precision manufacturing, that puzzles me. It is the fact that Airbus takes a bigger and bigger slice out of Boeing`s pie. It is that every next generation civil aircraft Boeing makes , has less and less domestic engineering, accounting for 787 only 35%. What is the next generation Boeing going to look like, like 20% of domestic engineering? All companies in US have a similar pattern - resorting to extreme outsourcing, which leads to rebadging an import product, and finally, the bankruptcy. It is the diversity of Russian aviation, it is those An -158, Tu-334, Tu-204, MC-21, Su-100, Su-80, and plethora of other airframes that show inventiveness of russian engineers and ability to execute such ariframes under limited budget. The same is in helicopter industry- mil-38, now the under constructiom Mil-54, also ka -62, Kazan Ansat, and various more projects where I see how the legacy of aviation engineering is carried on. Even after a collapse of Soviet Union , none of design bureaus died, maybe Yakovlev would be drastically downsized. While US had only 2 large civil aircraft manufacturers, and having no real crises, one of them had to go. I see this engineering pattern in all US industries- consolidation, consolidation, until there is only one player, which then is wiped out by imports. I don`t see a big difference from Boeing endlessly unpgrading an old 737 , or Bell upgrading endlessly old fuselages to Harley-Davidson, or Bose or Apple ( poor product diversity, innovation and quality purely by outsourcing). The same goes to car industry. All the companies that show healthy ability to grow show an interesting ability to engineer majority of complex components internally. it is clearly seen with Germans, Japanese, and now even South Koreans, it is exactly the opposite with US. And it is exactly crawling into aviation and space industry. How does it apply to moonlanding credibility. Well, if already 40 years ago they had an ability to execute such superbly complex engineering feats, they would have gone further and further, increasing complexity even more. You can clearly see how it is done by Nissan that constructed the GT-R. And the secret of their engineering ability- engineering through accumulation of DOMESTIC expertize. The same is for Sony, the most complex , expertize driven components are in-house, in Japan designed. Japanese don`t outsource to foreign companies, especially if it is a matter of complex engineering expertise. The exception would apply to japanese aviation, referring to construction of their cargo plane, akin to C-17, but only because their aviation is in rookie status comparably to US. Observe how japanese addd and add and add new models every year, more and more diversity. Us is so much relying on hit or miss products, that I doubt they have enough engineeering capacity to execute manifold complex tasks. While Apollo proved it was quiet easily done, in a comparably short period of time. And considering todays computers offer so much improvement over what was available then. Of course Us has a lot of great ideas, but many great ideas were simply suffocated before finalised- RAH-66, X-33, etc. After all these years of triumphant Apollo missions why do we still stand here with RD-180 and a tiny replica of Space Shuttle projected for next missions. is it really just the budget issue?
And I don`t denounce astronauts as cowards or hoaxers, it was not up to them to decide. And it was not up to many great engineers who contributed to that project, and it would be not their decision.....
Time will only tell, and as time goes, and US extrnal debt accumulates beyond reason, so will shrink NASA budget. All I expect then is more sloppiness to appear, which will finally lead to leakage to more information on Apollo. Kinda Tonkin incident from space to put in a poor analogy.That is my belief.