Author Topic: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast  (Read 10318 times)

Offline najak

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #420 on: December 16, 2024, 12:37:53 AM »
Interior atmosphere of the LM being vented in the direction of the flag.  There we go, one perfectly viable hypothesis.
I believe you know physics well enough to also realize this is non-viable.   To be "viable" it must be capable of explaining all 8 movements; at best, yours could explain four... assuming that the actual pressure from such venting was substantial 8 meters away (with the source being 2 ounces/sec oxygen released into a vacuum, in all directions -- isn't promising).  But it totally fails to explain the 4 times it was "pushed" onto the screen.

If you disagree, please explain.

Offline najak

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #421 on: December 16, 2024, 12:39:54 AM »
@LunarOrbit - clearly there remains to be interest in the Flag waving, as well as obvious evidence that your conclusion was inaccurate, and that I'm fully willing to defend my claim, and fully address the counter claims.   Forcing us to do so here - is way off topic for this thread.

Offline Mag40

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #422 on: December 16, 2024, 12:44:11 AM »
Yeah? You first! Show how "some bloke left the door open" during the only instances where gas was being ejected from the LM during depressurisation. Explain how this made these movements! Logic of a toaster.
My claim is no longer "therefore it was a hoax".  I've conceded to not connect any dots.
Yet you keep posturing this as though it means something! "100% integrity"?

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My ONLY remaining claim for the Flag motion is that there exists no known viable hypothesis to explain all of these motions.   That's it.  I've conceded the rest. My my remaining claim, is accurate.  If not - show me the one viable claim that I'm missing.

Interior atmosphere of the LM being vented in the direction of the flag.

There we go, one perfectly viable hypothesis.

A lot more viable than 'it was filmed in a studio'.

I want to quantify this in terms of logic:

We have events recorded by NASA both audibly and written to accompany a video. The only time there is any flag movement is during depressurisation events.

1. The moronic contradiction about how NASA carried off this multiple-mission hoax of unbelievably synchronised complexity, yet some berk left the door open on each of the depressurisation events? And a) nobody noticed or b) they didn't care?

2. The insane point, why? Why the hell would NASA carry on with TV coverage/video recording long after they had left the surface? Virtually nobody would be watching this given the appalling TV quality. Makes no sense at all.

3. Not knowing exact mechanisms involved doesn't preclude logic, critical thinking and good old Occam's razor.

Offline Mag40

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #423 on: December 16, 2024, 12:46:09 AM »
and fully address the counter claims.
Explain how some eejit leaving the door open works better than the LM depressurisation, bearing in mind that flag movement happened in all cases.

By explain, I mean "fully address" it.

Offline Mag40

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #424 on: December 16, 2024, 12:48:07 AM »
I believe you know physics well enough
I don't believe you do.
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But it totally fails to explain the 4 times it was "pushed" onto the screen.
Flagpole moved.

Offline najak

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #425 on: December 16, 2024, 01:32:54 AM »
Explain how some eejit leaving the door open works better than the LM depressurisation, bearing in mind that flag movement happened in all cases.
I've agreed to concede that this doesn't mean it was a hoax.  Simply that there exists no viable physics explanation for the 8 flag movements.  This remains an accurate assessment of this situation.

Offline najak

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #426 on: December 16, 2024, 01:46:44 AM »
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But it totally fails to explain the 4 times it was "pushed" onto the screen.
Flagpole moved.
I asked before if you'd like to defend this one - and you didn't want to.  I even did YOUR WORK FOR YOU. 

The MAXIMUM equivalent surface area of the 8 pound flag pole is 84 inSq, assuming we treat it like it is FLAT facing straight on.. without no aerodynamic curvature (that reduces the wind resistance).  Doing the math produces a total of about 0.25 mg of total force, MAXIMUM on the pole itself....

Please describe in better detail how you think 0.25 mg will cause the flag pole to move TOWARDS the LM, in these gentle/prolonged time periods.

You mentioned, maybe the pole hole was compromised with some wiggle... if so, it would always lean "with the horizontal pole" -- and 0.25 mg isn't going to change that.   Not even close.

Is this really the best you got?  And do you really want to dig more into the weeds with this -- as though you really think it has a chance of being viable?



« Last Edit: December 16, 2024, 01:51:05 AM by najak »

Offline najak

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #427 on: December 16, 2024, 06:08:58 AM »
... formulas...
Alright, took another stab at it, but am not getting the right answers, because this method produces 31 MJ/kg for Hydrazine which is 50% too high.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1l3ig3u9WTAHCUwSCTMHenLHXHSVc_PJ7Qb1TSO3056A/edit?usp=sharing

Check out the 3rd tab "Heat Combust".

This is what I tried before, and got wrong answers.   Haven't done this since college 32 years ago, nor do I find it particularly interesting, especially since the value I seek should already be well-known, via real-world testing.

Your claim that you don't think I'd believe you if you state the A50 Heat of Combustion is non-credible.

We can get a good approximation of the Static Pressure Max - simply by figuring the "max sustainable Combustion Chamber psia" (for even 0.2 second) to determine that "whatever they do with thrust here and combustion -- it had better not violate this pressure max limit" - because too much pressure causes very bad feedback in the "fuel rate".

Plus we have a +77% spec "absolute Max" -- which sets an abs Max Pressure at 212 psia.   We can tell for certain that if ignition happens too quickly here - it's going to put the whole engine at risk -- so they'll fuel this up slower, to keep this pressure from building up too high.

But since our fuel pressure is 170 psia - we also cannot safely go near this value either...  120 psia chamber pressure is the rating, so for my estimates, I used 130 psia as the Max-average chamber pressure (meaning it could go to 140, but then would rebound to 120 - washing it out mostly)...

So -- in the end -- we seem to be "pressure limited" during the first 0.20 meters of takeoff -- The Pressure safety limits alone - we should be able to assume that NASA isn't breaking these limits... and so by setting them at a "max safe value" (best case for Apollogists) - we can ballpark the MAX amount of added boost you can obtain from this "Static Pressure Thrust" factor.

Correct?  Please move this along.  People are waiting for you to show us where you are headed with all of this.
« Last Edit: December 16, 2024, 06:12:31 AM by najak »

Offline TimberWolfAu

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #428 on: December 16, 2024, 06:36:44 AM »
I believe you know physics well enough to also realize this is non-viable.   To be "viable" it must be capable of explaining all 8 movements; at best, yours could explain four... assuming that the actual pressure from such venting was substantial 8 meters away (with the source being 2 ounces/sec oxygen released into a vacuum, in all directions -- isn't promising).  But it totally fails to explain the 4 times it was "pushed" onto the screen.

If you disagree, please explain.

Simple; flags 'wave'.

The flag is pushed away from the LM, then it swings back. The motion is only checked by gravity and the 'stiffness' of the flag itself.


Offline Mag40

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #429 on: December 16, 2024, 07:46:48 AM »
Explain how some eejit leaving the door open works better than the LM depressurisation, bearing in mind that flag movement happened in all cases.
I've agreed to concede that this doesn't mean it was a hoax.  Simply that there exists no viable physics explanation for the 8 flag movements.  This remains an accurate assessment of this situation.
I don't care what you have bloody "agreed on", explain your theory on how it moved.

p.s. The "interest" in the Apollo 14 flag is just response to your continued reassertions - where you are ignoring logic, critical thinking and entertaining the most absurd option possible - without showing it to be viable.
« Last Edit: December 16, 2024, 09:12:50 AM by Mag40 »

Offline najak

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #430 on: December 16, 2024, 06:26:04 PM »
Simple; flags 'wave'.
The flag is pushed away from the LM, then it swings back. The motion is only checked by gravity and the 'stiffness' of the flag itself.
OK - now watch the video again, and see if your hypothesis remains viable.

Answer: No - because "waving" on the moon has to follow a pendulum behavior.  Since nothing can "push it towards the LM", you are proposing that it came on screen as part of a "SWING"... but it comes on screen very slowly, and STAYS STEADY for 14 seconds, then 33 seconds, then 11 seconds..   

Do you really want to suggest that this is part of the "flag waving?"

The third time, it comes on screen, it first barely comes on screen for 5 seconds, and holds steady -- then it's nudged even MORE on screen for another 6 seconds.

This final double-motion towards the LM without retraction - is guaranteed evidence that this is CANNOT be a part of swinging/waving motion.

Do you agree?   Or do you still think this hypothesis of yours is viable?

Feel free to change it as many times as you like, until you find something viable.


https://youtu.be/KpuKu3F0BvY?t=7973

Offline najak

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #431 on: December 16, 2024, 06:29:13 PM »
I don't care what you have bloody "agreed on", explain your theory on how it moved.
I've changed my theory ONLY to this --

"These 8 flag motions currently have no viable physics explanation within the lunar context."

This should be YOUR theory too, given that no one here can seem to refute it.  If a refutation exists, please show it.

Offline Mag40

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #432 on: December 16, 2024, 06:45:28 PM »
I don't care what you have bloody "agreed on", explain your theory on how it moved.
I've changed my theory ONLY to this --

"These 8 flag motions currently have no viable physics explanation within the lunar context."

This should be YOUR theory too, given that no one here can seem to refute it.  If a refutation exists, please show it.
My theory is you can't explain it with the idiotic "bloke left the door open" theory that defies logic and reason. You simply lack any integrity to admit that the explanation given has more credence. The only time the flag moves, it occurs during depressurisation.

Offline JayUtah

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #433 on: December 16, 2024, 06:46:16 PM »
Alright, took another stab at it, but am not getting the right answers, because this method produces 31 MJ/kg for Hydrazine which is 50% too high.
That is almost certainly my fault. I gave you the wrong molecular formula for the hydrazine reaction. It should be
2N2H4 + N2O43N2 + 4H2O
Obviously the balance factor on the N2 is inconsequential for thermochemistry, but it's still an error on my part. That's basic equation-balancing and I should have slowed down to check my work. And as long as I'm confessing error, the second equation should be
(CH3)2N2H2 + N2O4 → 4H2O + 2CO2 + 2N2
Again, inconsequential for thermochemistry but you can blame me for giving you incorrect information. I apologize. With the provisos I discuss below, your model should now give you results that seem more correct to you.

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Haven't done this since college 32 years ago...
I assure you the laws of thermodynamics haven't changed.

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...nor do I find it particularly interesting...
Irrelevant. It applies to your claim. Your claim is that (1) you observe the spacecraft in the video to rise according to a certain velocity profile, and (2) that this cannot be explained by the operation of a thermodynamic engine of a certain type and design. Why do you think you're obliged to supply suitable rigor for one leg of your claim but not the other? You initially went into a fair amount of detail on (1), even catching your own error. But your treatment of (2) has been to cite one parameter of rocketry and largely dismiss all other discussion with what amounts to yelling "Nuh-unh!" and shifting the burden of proof.

In order to expect your claim to be taken seriously and establish you as the next Edward Snowden, you are obliged to demonstrate that your grasp of thermodynamic engines is sufficient for you to show that (2) is sufficiently predicated—not just according to what you find interesting, but according to what laws of physics apply. Failing that, you are obliged to demonstrate that you understand enough about the foundational principles to apprehend an answer provided by someone else. You managed to find your way to the first law of thermodynamics—good. And after some false starts, you have managed to home in on a defensible method for ascertaining the enthalpy we have to work with. It's clear neither of us should be taking any shortcuts. Until we get there, the more parsimonious explanation for (1) remains that there is a physical effect at work that isn't being properly considered, not that vast amounts of effort went into perpetrating a hoax.

You seem to have adopted this very weird argument from silence that says if other people can't satisfy your (2), you can stand on leg (1) without any further demonstration. Why you think you're allowed to establish rigor for only half your argument beggars belief.

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...especially since the value I seek should already be well-known, via real-world testing.
Then why couldn't you just look it up? It may surprise you, but there is no Big Book of Answers that you can simply look up whatever question might pop into your head. First, calorimetry is not a slam-dunk. It's very hard to do correctly, which is why a lot of the commonly used numbers are remeasured every few decades. Second, calorimetry is dangerous, especially with high-energy, hard-to-handle substances like these fuels. Third, we don't have to perform literally every conceivable chemical reaction and measure it under every set of circumstances in order to figure out what we're doing. Analytical thermochemistry still exists because we still need it.

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Your claim that you don't think I'd believe you if you state the A50 Heat of Combustion is non-credible.
I just gave you a good reason not to trust me—I might make a mistake. Had I simply handed you a number, you might have just used it without wondering how it was arrived at, or without having any way of catching my error. This is why we go step by step, in lock-step, and show the work.

Imagine an alternate universe where you asked me for some quantitative estimates for these non-canonical effects way back on, say, page 5, and I just gave you some figure out of the blue that just magically made up for all of it and declared victory. Can you honestly say you wouldn't have questioned where any of those numbers came from? Would you have said, "Oh, okay, I guess those numbers plucked out of thin air really put me in my place—thanks!" No, you would have asked me to show my work, and I'm sure there would have been a lively debate over whether that work was valid or not. The problem with that up-front approach is that before we disabused you of a few of your misconceptions you simply threw out a bunch of simplistic knee-jerk objections as if they somehow settled the issue no matter how robust the explanation. And you're still trying to do that. You still want to believe there's just some easy look-up that means you don't have to rise to your burden of proof.

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Please move this along.
Asked and answered.

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People are waiting for you to show us where you are headed with all of this.
Who are you speaking for?

If you had paid more attention to the questions I asked previously, you would have a pretty good idea where we're heading. You invoked the first law of thermodynamics and are homing in on a value for how much enthalpy is in the system. But those are for a given set of conditions. I asked you some questions intended to discover to what extent we can believe those conditions hold. And if they don't, what should change? For example, you used the heats of formation for the liquid phase for the propellants. Is that the right answer under all the conditions that apply to our problem? Why or why not? This is why we still do whiteboard thermochemstry. There's no one number that works in all cases.

Once we have a properly framed idea of the enthalpy in a thermodynamic engine, the next step is to reason carefully about how that can be harnessed to do work. As before, there's a simplistic model that holds for some standard, ongoing conditions. And then—since this is a non-canonical portion of the engine's operation—we might have to think of ways to reason about those nonstandard conditions.
"Facts are stubborn things." --John Adams

Offline najak

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Re: Hoax? - Lunar Launches - Too Fast
« Reply #434 on: December 16, 2024, 07:50:36 PM »
Once we have a properly framed idea of the enthalpy in a thermodynamic engine, the next step is to reason carefully about how that can be harnessed to do work. As before, there's a simplistic model that holds for some standard, ongoing conditions. And then—since this is a non-canonical portion of the engine's operation—we might have to think of ways to reason about those nonstandard conditions.
I corrected the spreadsheet math for your corrections, and still not getting 19.5 MJ for hydrazine, so this basic method doesn't seem sufficient.  But you see -- I'm simply "trusting the industry result for Hydrazine" - this is 100% fine.

My new (incorrect?) answer for Heat of combustion are:
Hydrazine 16.4 MJ/kg,   and A50 overall = 23 MJ/kg

Summary:  There is a LOT more combustion energy than we can HARNESS for the AM acceleration.  The issue isn't "is there enough combustion energy", but rather "What are the LIMITS in how much of this energy can be HARNESSED steadily for the first 1 second of launch?"

Near the start, you claimed there was ONE main contributor to thrust that I was missing -- "Static Pressure".  And this particular thrust is LIMITED by the Combustion Chamber specs...  which cannot go over 212 psia EVER..   and in order for fuel to feed into the chamber, must also remain well below 170 psia...  and since steady state is rated at 120 psia, how much higher than 120 psia can we safely LINGER (for > 0.2 sec), without having critical/destabilizing impact on the 170 psia fuel feed pressure?

The focus of our work should be on "how could enough of this energy be HARNESSED to provide a steady additional thrust for 1 full second?"

So far the preliminary analysis of the Pressure Thrust as a function of lift-off distance, looks very bad for the Apollogy.

My thesis here is simply this --
"Over the past 40 years, we are unaware any viable physics theory that would explain the steady/consistent high acceleration of the Ascent Modules for the first full 1-second."

This theory currently stands unrefuted.

Let's move your theory along here to see if you can offer a refute for this famous MLH claim that has stood for 40+ years.

What's next?